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Countdown to the Next Fed Rate Decision
45days
20hours
39minutes
04seconds
Based on the 30-day Federal Funds futures pricing data, analyze the possibility of interest rate changes by the Federal Reserve and adjustments to U.S. monetary policy
9-18
10-30
12-11
1-29
3-19
4-30
6-18
7-30
9-17
10-29
12-10
Meeting Time：2025-09-18 02:00:00
Futures Prices：95.7750
| Target Interest Rate | Probability | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | Previous Day | Previous Week | Previous Month | |
| 3.75%-4.00% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.6% | 21.8% |
| 4.00%-4.25% | 80.3% | 80.3% | 61.9% | 71.9% |
| 4.25%-4.50% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 35.5% | 6.3% |
Last Updated Time 08-03 04:50FROM: CME FedWatch Tool
US Federal Funds Benchmark Rate
to
| Date | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-30 | 4.25% - 4.50% | 4.25% - 4.50% |
| 2025-06-18 | 4.25% - 4.50% | 4.25% - 4.50% |
| 2025-05-07 | 4.25% - 4.50% | 4.25% - 4.50% |
| 2025-03-19 | 4.25% - 4.50% | 4.25% - 4.50% |
| 2025-01-29 | 4.25% - 4.50% | 4.25%-4.50% |
| 2024-12-18 | 4.25%-4.50% | 4.25%-4.50% |
| 2024-11-07 | 4.50%-4.75% | 4.50%-4.75% |
| 2024-09-19 | 4.75%-5.00% | 5.00%-5.25% |
| 2024-08-01 | 5.25%-5.50% | 5.25%-5.50% |
| 2024-06-13 | 5.25%-5.50% | 5.00%-5.25% |
| 2024-05-02 | 5.25%-5.50% | 5.25%-5.50% |
| 2024-03-20 | 5.25%-5.5% | 5.25%-5.50% |
| 2024-01-31 | 5.25%-5.50% | 5.25%-5.50% |
| 2023-12-13 | 5.25%-5.50% | 5.25%-5.50% |
| 2023-11-02 | 5.25%-5.50% | 5.25%-5.50% |
| 2023-09-21 | 5.25%-5.50% | 5.25%-5.50% |
| 2023-07-27 | 5.25%-5.50% | 5.25%-5.50% |
| 2023-06-15 | 5.00%-5.25% | 5.00%-5.25% |
| 2023-05-04 | 5.00%-5.25% | 5.00%-5.25% |
| 2023-03-23 | 4.75%-5.00% | 4.75%-5.00% |
